How Useful is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index When Making Cryptocurrency Investment Decisions

41 Pages Posted: 13 Apr 2023

Date Written: April 3, 2023

Abstract

An analysis of the relationships of both the price and trading volume of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, Avalanche and Dogecoin with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, whether the Index is used as a comparison with future prices or measured over a series of previous days, provides very patchy results, with very little agreement between cryptocurrencies. The clearest results are derived when the Index is divided into greed, mid-range and fear but even then, nothing is consistent. Measuring relationships over long periods should be avoided, but when divided into smaller groups, such as months, adjacent months can have totally different outcomes. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index may give investors some idea of the current perception of some aspects of the cryptocurrency market but it is not useful as a tool for making investment decisions.

Keywords: Crypto Fear and Greed Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, Avalanche, Dogecoin

JEL Classification: G10, G11, G15

Suggested Citation

Johnson, Jackie, How Useful is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index When Making Cryptocurrency Investment Decisions (April 3, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4407405 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4407405

Jackie Johnson (Contact Author)

Johnson Research, Perth ( email )

PO Box 440
Bullcreek, WA 6149
Australia

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